Bitcoin Boom Pulls in Flood of New Investors Despite Macro Uncertainty
Against a backdrop of macro uncertainty, the past month has seen a stellar run of form for Bitcoin. But the number one cryptocurrency by market cap topped out last Friday at $16k, having gained 45% since the start of last month.
According to data from Glassnode, on-chain fundamentals for Bitcoin turned “seriously bullish” with its recent performance. This includes rising average transaction values, and most of all, a flood of new investors.
“Best of all we are not just seeing smart money flow in, it’s NEW smart money. Orange line is the rate of new investors coming in per hour previously unseen before on the blockchain. It’s seriously bullish.“
Best of all we are not just seeing smart money flow in, it’s NEW smart money.
Orange line is the rate of new investors coming in per hour previously unseen before on the blockchain.
The Glassnode chart for new investors shows a considerable spike in net growth, of 800, from around the start of last month. The last time a similar pattern played out was three years ago, in October 2017, just before Bitcoin’s epic bull run to $20k.
Back then, net growth spiked to approximately 1,100, before retracing back down to 800 in December 2017. At this point, users’ net growth exploded to 1,800, which coincided with BTC’s rise to $20k.
Expectations are for a further dip in price, and net growth as Bitcoin pauses to consolidate. However, the recent spike in users’ net growth still paints a picture of growing confidence in Bitcoin.
Is The Safe Haven Narrative Finally Coming True?
The narrative that Bitcoin is a safe haven asset has come under fire in recent times. Most notably during March’s Black Thursday crash, which saw it drop 50% to below $4k.
Fintech writer Viktor Tachev believes the safe haven narrative is a dangerous one to hold. He concedes Bitcoin has many of the qualities of a safe haven asset, including liquidity, functionality, and finite supply. But it is still hampered by high volatility and stock correlation.
“Bitcoin ticks most of the boxes with the typical characteristics of safe haven assets. It is liquid, has a long-term use-case (although not so well-developed yet), finite supply, and is hard to be replaced.
However, volatility and correlation to the market are where it fails. From a purely financial perspective, these two factors are also the most crucial ones.”